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Fiber-to-the-home systems will reach 2.65 million American homes by 2006 and fiber-to-the-curb systems, 1.9 million more in the same time frame, a study says. By the end of this year, FTTH will reach 89,000 homes, and FTTC, 915,000.

Residential Broadband Access in the United States: Fiber-to-the-Curb and Fiber-to-the-Home by KMI Corp. says annual deployment of FTTH will jump 63 percent, compounded annually, in that time. FTTC will grow 15 percent.

The study also notes FTTH deployments come from three types of carriers — rural ILECs, competing carriers working with real estate developers and small-town governments. For its part, FTTC deployments come largely from RBOCs, with smaller deployments from rural ILECs and competing carriers.

The results look good for the FTTH equipment market — that should jump from $100 million in 2001 to more than $900 million in 2006. Conversely, the FTTC market will only rise from $100 million in 2001 to about $200 million in 2006 — something the study attributes to "cannibalization by the FTTH market as the cost difference between FTTC and FTTH narrows," the study says.

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