• Optical transport equipment sales will drop 36 percent from $19.6 billion in 2000 to $12.5 billion at the end of 2001, an RHK Inc. study says in its revised figures. The research firm says that, since its last forecast, it did another round of interviews with carriers who account for 95 percent of carrier spending.
The results showed that equipment, including DWDM, Sonet and cross-connects, will see flat spending well into 2002, as providers consume inventory and lease capacity from wholesale carriers. It also found several factors affecting the market, including redeployment of in-service equipment to new routers to meet demand; a build-to-order carrier approach, as opposed to build-to-plan; and a "significant amount of capacity returned to incumbent carriers' networks as a result of circuits decommissioned from failed competitive carriers," RHK reports.
• A solid 31.1 million American homes will have a broadband connection by 2005, The Yankee Group says. Cable Modem Providers Continue to Lead the High-Speed Internet Charge: The Yankee Group's Predictions on Consumer Broadband Services says cable will dominate the residential broadband market for the next four years.
Don't get too confident, though — satellite and fixed wireless will slowly gain ground, and by the end of 2005, about 15.7 million homes will have cable modem. DSL will follow with 10.5 million homes; satellite will carry 4.5 million households; and multichannel multipoint distribution system-based and other fixed-wireless access will bring up the rear with about 359,000 homes.